{"id":1235,"date":"2020-03-22T00:31:37","date_gmt":"2020-03-21T15:31:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/?p=1235"},"modified":"2020-03-22T10:01:38","modified_gmt":"2020-03-22T01:01:38","slug":"%e6%96%b0%e5%9e%8b%e3%82%b3%e3%83%ad%e3%83%8a%e3%82%a6%e3%82%a4%e3%83%ab%e3%82%b9%e5%af%be%e7%ad%96%ef%bc%8dimperial-college-london%e8%ab%96%e6%96%87","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/%e6%96%b0%e5%9e%8b%e3%82%b3%e3%83%ad%e3%83%8a%e3%82%a6%e3%82%a4%e3%83%ab%e3%82%b9%e5%af%be%e7%ad%96%ef%bc%8dimperial-college-london%e8%ab%96%e6%96%87\/","title":{"rendered":"\u65b0\u578b\u30b3\u30ed\u30ca\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u5bfe\u7b56\uff0dImperial College London\u8ad6\u6587"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u533b\u5b66\u3067\u4e16\u754c\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3059\u308b\u82f1\u56fd\u306eImperial College London\u304c2020\u5e743\u670816\u65e5\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imperial.ac.uk\/media\/imperial-college\/medicine\/sph\/ide\/gida-fellowships\/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf\">\u8ad6\u6587<\/a>\u304c\u3001\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u3084\u533b\u85ac\u304c\u306a\u3044\u524d\u63d0\u3067\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u65e5\u672c\u306e\u5831\u9053\u3067\u306f\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\uff08Suppression\uff1a\u4e0b\u8a18\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u8981\u7d04\u3067\u306f\u300c\u6291\u5236\u300d\u3068\u8868\u73fe\uff09\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u304c\u6d3b\u767a\u306b\u884c\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306f\u7de9\u548c\uff08Mitigation\uff09\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6709\u52b9\u306a\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u304c\u306a\u3044\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u304c\u958b\u767a\u3055\u308c\u308b\u307e\u3067\u306e\u9593\uff0818\u30f6\u6708\u3068\u3044\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\uff09\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\u3092\u7d99\u7d9a\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306f\u7d4c\u6e08\u6d3b\u52d5\u3078\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u8003\u3048\u308c\u3070\u73fe\u5b9f\u7684\u3067\u306f\u306a\u304f\u3001\u4eee\u306b\u3001\u6570\u30f6\u6708\u9593\u306e\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\u306b\u6210\u529f\u3057\u305f\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3082\u3001\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\u3092\u89e3\u9664\u3057\u305f\u77ac\u9593\u306b\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u306a\u611f\u67d3\u304c\u59cb\u307e\u3063\u3066\u3001\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\u52b9\u679c\u304c\u7121\u306b\u5e30\u3059\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u305d\u3053\u3067\u3001\u30b3\u30f3\u30c8\u30ed\u30fc\u30eb\u3057\u3064\u3064\u5f90\u3005\u306b\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u3092\u5897\u3084\u3057\u3066\u3001\u5e83\u304f\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u306b\u5bfe\u3059\u308b\u514d\u75ab\u529b\u3092\u9ad8\u3081\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7de9\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u304c\u691c\u8a0e\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044\u308b\u306e\u3067\u3059\u304c\u3001\u305d\u3053\u3067\u306f\u533b\u7642\u5d29\u58ca\u3084\u304b\u306a\u308a\u306e\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u6570\u3092\u899a\u609f\u305b\u306d\u3070\u306a\u3089\u306a\u3044\u3068\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u307e\u3057\u305f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/themes\/the-thor\/img\/dummy.gif\" data-layzr=\"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/IC\u8ad6\u6587Mtigation-Scenario.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1239\"\/><figcaption>\u7de9\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u3067\u3082\u6570\u30f6\u6708\u306e\u671f\u9593\u306f\u91cd\u7be4\u60a3\u8005\u3092\u5341\u5206\u306b\u30b1\u30a2\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u304c\u3067\u304d\u306a\u3044\u3053\u3068\u304c\u793a\u5506\u3055\u308c\u305f\u7de9\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3002\uff08Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand. 16 March 2020 &#8211; Imperial College London\u200c )<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u304c\u5e83\u304f\u884c\u304d\u308f\u305f\u308b\u307e\u3067\u3001\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\u304c\u9577\u671f\u306b\u4e98\u308a\u53ef\u80fd\u3067\u3042\u308c\u3070\u3001\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u3092\u6291\u3048\u8fbc\u3080\u306b\u306f\u305d\u308c\u304c\u6700\u3082\u6709\u52b9\u3067\u3059\u3002\u7de9\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u306f\u3001\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\u306b\u6bd4\u3079\u308c\u3070\u533b\u7642\u5d29\u58ca\u3084\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u5897\u52a0\u3092\u5bb9\u8a8d\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u308f\u304b\u308a\u3084\u3059\u3044\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3092\u793a\u3057\u3066\u3001\u653f\u6cbb\u306b\u5bfe\u3057\u3066\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u306a\u9078\u629e\u3092\u4fc3\u3057\u305f\u3053\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u306f\u3068\u3066\u3082\u610f\u7fa9\u6df1\u3044\u3068\u611f\u3058\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u73fe\u5b9f\u7684\u306b\u306f\u3001\u3053\u306e\u8ad6\u6587\u3067\u524d\u63d0\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3044\u306a\u3044\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u3084\u4ee3\u66ff\u533b\u85ac\u306e\u6295\u5165\u306a\u3069\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u305f\u7de9\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u3092\u6a21\u7d22\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u306a\u308b\u3068\u601d\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>COVID-19\u306e\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u306f\u5927\u304d\u304f\u3001\u3053\u308c\u306b\u3088\u308b\u516c\u8846\u885b\u751f\u4e0a\u306e\u8105\u5a01\u306f\u30011918\u5e74\u306eH1N1\u30a4\u30f3\u30d5\u30eb\u30a8\u30f3\u30b6\u30d1\u30f3\u30c7\u30df\u30c3\u30af\u4ee5\u6765\u3001\u547c\u5438\u5668\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u3067\u306f\u6700\u3082\u6df1\u523b\u306a\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306f\u3001\u904e\u53bb\u6570\u9031\u9593\u306b\u82f1\u56fd\u304a\u3088\u3073\u305d\u306e\u4ed6\u306e\u56fd\u306b\u304a\u3051\u308b\u653f\u7b56\u6c7a\u5b9a\u306b\u60c5\u5831\u3092\u63d0\u4f9b\u3057\u305f\u75ab\u5b66\u7684\u30e2\u30c7\u30ea\u30f3\u30b0\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3092\u793a\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002COVID-19\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u304c\u306a\u3044\u4e2d\u3067\u3001\u4eba\u3005\u306e\u63a5\u89e6\u6a5f\u4f1a\u3092\u6e1b\u3089\u3059\u3053\u3068\u3067\u30a6\u30a4\u30eb\u30b9\u306e\u4f1d\u64ad\u3092\u6291\u5236\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u76ee\u7684\u3068\u3057\u305f\u3001\u591a\u304f\u306e\u516c\u8846\u885b\u751f\u5bfe\u7b56\uff08\u3044\u308f\u3086\u308b\u975e\u85ac\u7269\u7684\u4ecb\u5165\uff09\u306e\u6f5c\u5728\u7684\u306a\u5f79\u5272\u3092\u8a55\u4fa1\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u3053\u3053\u306b\u793a\u3059\u7d50\u679c\u3067\u306f\u3001\u4ee5\u524d\u767a\u8868\u3055\u308c\u305f\u30de\u30a4\u30af\u30ed\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u30e2\u30c7\u30eb\u30922\u304b\u56fd\uff08\u82f1\u56fd\u3068\u7c73\u56fd\u2015\u7279\u306b\u82f1\u56fd\uff09\u306b\u9069\u7528\u3057\u307e\u3059\u3002\u9694\u96e2\u72b6\u614b\u3067\u306e\u3044\u305a\u308c\u304b\uff11\u3064\u306e\u4ecb\u5165\u306e\u52b9\u679c\u306b\u306f\u9650\u5ea6\u304c\u3042\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u9ad8\u304f\u3001\u8907\u6570\u306e\u4ecb\u5165\u3092\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\u3066\u611f\u67d3\u62e1\u5927\u306b\u5b9f\u8cea\u7684\u306a\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u308b\u5fc5\u8981\u304c\u3042\u308b\u3068\u3044\u3046\u7d50\u8ad6\u306b\u81f3\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p><p>\u6b21\u306e2\u3064\u306e\u57fa\u672c\u7684\u5bfe\u7b56\u304c\u5b9f\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u3067\u3059\uff1a(a) \u7de9\u548c\uff1a\u611f\u67d3\u62e1\u5927\u3092\u5fc5\u305a\u3057\u3082\u505c\u6b62\u3055\u305b\u306a\u3044\u304c\u3001\u9045\u3089\u305b\u308b\u3053\u3068\u306b\u7126\u70b9\u3092\u5f53\u3066\u3001\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u6642\u306e\u533b\u7642\u9700\u8981\u3092\u4f4e\u6e1b\u3059\u308b\u3068\u540c\u6642\u306b\u3001\u91cd\u7be4\u306a\u75be\u60a3\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u6700\u3082\u9ad8\u3044\u4eba\u3005\u3092\u611f\u67d3\u304b\u3089\u4fdd\u8b77\u3059\u308b\u3002 (b) \u6291\u5236\uff1a\u611f\u67d3\u62e1\u5927\u3092\u7e2e\u5c0f\u3059\u308b\u3053\u3068\u3092\u76ee\u7684\u3068\u3057\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u8005\u6570\u3092\u6e1b\u5c11\u3055\u305b\u3001\u305d\u306e\u72b6\u6cc1\u3092\u7121\u671f\u9650\u306b\u7dad\u6301\u3059\u308b\u3002\u305d\u308c\u305e\u308c\u306e\u5bfe\u7b56\u306b\u306f\u5927\u304d\u306a\u8ab2\u984c\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002\u6700\u9069\u306a\u7de9\u548c\u5bfe\u7b56\uff08\u611f\u67d3\u7591\u3044\u306e\u3042\u308b\u4eba\u306e\u81ea\u5b85\u9694\u96e2\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u7591\u3044\u306e\u3042\u308b\u4eba\u3068\u540c\u4e16\u5e2f\u306e\u4eba\u306e\u81ea\u5b85\u9694\u96e2\u3001\u91cd\u7be4\u306a\u75be\u60a3\u306e\u30ea\u30b9\u30af\u304c\u6700\u3082\u9ad8\u3044\u9ad8\u9f62\u8005\u306a\u3069\u3068\u306e\u793e\u4f1a\u7684\u8ddd\u96e2\u306e\u78ba\u4fdd\u306e\u7d44\u307f\u5408\u308f\u305b\uff09\u306f\u3001\u30d4\u30fc\u30af\u6642\u306e\u533b\u7642\u9700\u8981\u30922\/3\u306b\u4f4e\u6e1b\u3057\u3001\u307e\u305f\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u3092\u534a\u6e1b\u3059\u308b\u3068\u8003\u3048\u3089\u308c\u307e\u3059\u3002\u3057\u304b\u3057\u3001\u611f\u67d3\u75c7\u6d41\u884c\u306e\u7de9\u548c\u306e\u7d50\u679c\u3068\u3057\u3066\u3001\u6b7b\u4ea1\u8005\u304c\u6570\u5341\u4e07\u4eba\u306b\u4e0a\u308a\u3001\u533b\u7642\u6a5f\u95a2\uff08\u7279\u306b\u96c6\u4e2d\u6cbb\u7642\u5ba4\uff09\u306e\u8ca0\u62c5\u304c\u4f55\u500d\u306b\u3082\u5897\u3048\u308b\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u304c\u3042\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002 \u3053\u308c\u3092\u9054\u6210\u3067\u304d\u308b\u56fd\u306b\u3068\u3063\u3066\u306f\u3001\u6291\u5236\u5bfe\u7b56\u304c\u512a\u5148\u5bfe\u7b56\u30aa\u30d7\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3068\u306a\u308a\u307e\u3059\u3002<\/p><cite>Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand. <em>16 March 2020 &#8211; Imperial College London\u200c<\/em> <\/cite><\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u533b\u5b66\u3067\u4e16\u754c\u30c8\u30c3\u30d7\u306b\u4f4d\u7f6e\u3059\u308b\u82f1\u56fd\u306eImperial College London\u304c2020\u5e743\u670816\u65e5\u306b\u767a\u8868\u3057\u305f\u8ad6\u6587\u304c\u3001\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u306e\u653f\u7b56\u306b\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u4e0e\u3048\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u3002\u30ef\u30af\u30c1\u30f3\u3084\u533b\u85ac\u304c\u306a\u3044\u524d\u63d0\u3067\u306e\u5f71\u97ff\u3092\u30b7\u30df\u30e5\u30ec\u30fc\u30b7\u30e7\u30f3\u3057\u305f\u3082\u306e\u3067\u3059\u3002 \u65e5\u672c\u306e\u5831\u9053\u3067\u306f\u5c01\u3058\u8fbc\u3081\uff08Suppression\uff1a\u4e0b\u8a18\u65e5\u672c\u8a9e\u8981\u7d04\u3067\u306f\u300c\u6291\u5236\u300d\u3068\u8868\u73fe\uff09\u306b\u3064\u3044\u3066\u306e\u8b70\u8ad6\u304c\u6d3b\u767a\u306b\u884c\u308f\u308c\u3066\u3044\u307e\u3059\u304c\u3001\u3053\u3053\u3067\u306f\u7de9\u548c\uff08Mitigation\uff09\u3068\u3044\u3046\u8003\u3048\u65b9\u304c\u793a\u3055\u308c\u3066\u3044 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1239,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1235","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1235","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1235"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1235\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1241,"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1235\/revisions\/1241"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1239"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1235"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1235"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/beacons-inc.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1235"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}